Credit: Kibble Facts

Hill's Pet Nutrition started shipping refrigerated dog food in July. The company spent decades telling veterinarians that a bag of extruded kibble was complete, balanced, and everything a dog needed. Now its reps are walking into clinics with chilled rolls of chicken and brown rice. The same brand is still filling the kibble aisle behind them. Something changed, and it was not the science.

Who is selling fresh now

Three of the biggest names in dry dog food moved into the refrigerated case in the past year.

  • Hill's launched Science Diet Single Protein Dog Food Rolls, refrigerated and steam-cooked, in three recipes: Chicken and Brown Rice, Beef and Carrot, and Lamb and Pumpkin. They sell at pet specialty stores with no subscription, in a phased US rollout that began in July 2026. [1]

  • General Mills put Blue Buffalo fresh food into 5,000 coolers nationwide in late 2025. CEO Jeff Harmening values the fresh segment at $3 billion in 2025 and projects $10 billion within ten years. [2]

  • Nestlé holds a stake in JustFoodForDogs. CFO Anna Manz called fresh "a harder place to sustainably win profitably" and said the company wants to see how the investment scales before committing more. [2]

Hill's bought its way in. The company acquired Prime100, a Melbourne maker of refrigerated and shelf-stable pet food, which handed it the cold-chain experience a kibble plant never needed. Colgate-Palmolive CEO Noel Wallace called the overall pet food category "flat" at a September investor conference and said Hill's is gaining share where it concentrates investment. [3] The flat part of the category is kibble. The growth is somewhere else.

Why the giants moved

The numbers explain the timing better than any press release.

  • Fresh dog food grew 24.5% from 2021 to 2025. The whole dog food and treat category grew 5.7% a year over the same stretch. [4]

  • Dry food still holds 46% of dog food dollars. Fresh holds 8%, canned 15%. [4]

  • Fresh is in 10% of US dog-owning households. The full category is in 61%. That gap is the opportunity. [4]

  • Independent pet retailers surveyed by eTailPet reported raw up 55%, frozen up 53%, and freeze-dried up 46%. The survey did not ask about dry. [4]

  • Chewy CEO Sumit Singh expects fresh to reach $8 billion to $12 billion over the next several years. [4]

Then there is the price. Cascadia Capital puts dry food at $2.75 a pound, shelf-stable wet at $3.50, and fresh at $5.50 to $7.75. [4] A company staring at a flat category and a product that sells for twice as much per pound does not need a change of heart. It needs a cooler. The cost per pound gap is the whole story.

What Hill's is not saying

Hill's is selling the rolls to veterinarians first, not to you. Dr. Chelsie Estey, the company's US chief veterinary officer, said "veterinarians want to feel confident when recommending fresh food." Rauf Gurbuz, Hill's US president, called fresh "a popular choice among select pet parents." That is a company describing a trend it did not start and does not fully endorse. The rolls are a hedge, and the vet's office is the distribution channel.

Three things never appear in the launch materials.

  • The word "raw." The rolls are steam-cooked. Hill's moved toward fresh without touching the format independent retailers say is growing fastest.

  • Human-grade. Susan Thixton at Truth About Pet Food points out the rolls do not meet human-grade standards, even though the packaging shows steak and chicken breast. [5]

  • A definition. "Fresh" has no legal definition from the FDA or AAFCO. A manufacturer can use the word however it likes. [5]

That last point carries the most weight. The AAFCO rules that govern "complete and balanced" say nothing about what "fresh" must mean. Purina already prints "freshly prepared" on some Beneful kibble. [5] Hill's can put "fresh" on a refrigerated roll made by a company that also runs extruders. Nobody is checking.

What a kibble company's fresh food tells you

The kibble giants did not change their minds about nutrition. They changed their minds about where the money is. Hill's chased fresh after years of recommending against anything that did not come in a bag, and it did so with a cooked, processed roll aimed at the one audience it already controls. A reader who gets handed a Hill's roll at the vet in 2027 should ask three questions. What temperature was it cooked at, is it human-grade, and why is the kibble still on the shelf behind it.

Independent raw and freeze-dried makers spent fifteen years proving fresh works while the big brands warned against it. Those verified raw brands publish test results and name their suppliers. Hill's published a press release and a quote about veterinarian confidence. The giants are entering a market they spent decades shrinking, and they are entering it with the least fresh version of fresh they could make. The cooler at your vet's office is a confession, not a conversion.

Sources

  1. PetfoodIndustry, "Hill's launches refrigerated Science Diet protein dog rolls," June 30, 2026. https://www.petfoodindustry.com/pet-food-market/product-launches/news/15829014/hills-launches-refrigerated-science-diet-protein-dog-rolls

  2. GlobalPETS, "General Mills and Nestlé outline plans to drive pet food momentum." https://globalpetindustry.com/news/general-mills-and-nestle-outline-plans-to-drive-pet-food-momentum/

  3. PetfoodIndustry, "Pet food category 'flat' but Hill's gains share with fresh rollout," September 10, 2026. https://www.petfoodindustry.com/business-strategy/article/15834547/pet-food-category-flat-but-hills-gains-share-with-fresh-rollout

  4. Debbie Phillips-Donaldson, PetfoodIndustry, "Raw, fresh, freeze-dried pet food: On the march to mainstream?" October 8, 2026. https://www.petfoodindustry.com/blogs-columns/adventures-in-pet-food/blog/15837042/raw-fresh-freezedried-pet-food-on-the-march-to-mainstream

  5. Susan Thixton, Truth About Pet Food, "Hill's Pet Food Joins The Fresh Dog Food Movement," July 1, 2026. https://truthaboutpetfood.com/hills-pet-food-joins-the-fresh-dog-food-movement/